Future Years of Supervision Imposed

Year to Date Through 10/18/2021

Definitions | Limitations

Each sentence to a period of probation or parole supervision represents a commitment by the County of Philadelphia or Commonwealth of Pennsylvania to monitor a person for a certain amount of time. The data below show the total future years of supervision imposed over time on persons for different types of offenses.

  -62%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

All Offenses

  -54%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Violent Offenses

  -73%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Property Offenses

  -69%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Drug Offenses

  -38%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Firearms Possession

All Offenses

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Supervision by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Supervision by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change
’15-’17
Avg
’18-’21
Avg
’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
All Violent Offenses 10,950 11,118 10,671 9,445 5,557 1,960 3,040 55% 10,913 5,000 -54%
All Property Offenses 6,158 5,524 4,993 2,972 1,665 627 790 26% 5,558 1,514 -73%
All Drug Offenses 14,116 11,766 10,221 7,823 4,520 1,374 1,377 0% 12,034 3,774 -69%
All Firearms Possession 2,609 2,585 2,567 2,914 1,816 595 1,077 81% 2,587 1,600 -38%
All Other Offenses 753 531 489 211 72 37 52 41% 591 93 -84%
Uncategorized Offenses 2,613 2,484 2,000 2,359 980 477 664 39% 2,366 1,120 -53%
All Offenses 37,199 34,008 30,941 25,724 14,610 5,070 7,000 38% 34,049 13,101 -62%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Supervision per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change
’15-’17
Avg
’18-’21
Avg
’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
All Violent Offenses 3.11 3.32 3.39 3.06 2.62 2.14 2.35 10% 3.27 2.54 -22%
All Property Offenses 1.62 1.57 1.53 1.26 1.13 1.04 1.31 26% 1.57 1.19 -24%
All Drug Offenses 1.33 1.29 1.25 1.08 0.86 0.68 1.23 81% 1.29 0.96 -26%
All Firearms Possession 3.93 4.10 4.25 3.60 3.25 2.47 2.40 -3% 4.09 2.93 -28%
All Other Offenses 0.67 0.66 0.58 0.49 0.29 0.48 0.81 69% 0.64 0.52 -19%
Uncategorized Offenses 1.15 1.20 1.05 1.49 0.89 0.90 1.36 51% 1.13 1.16 3%
All Offenses 1.69 1.74 1.73 1.66 1.36 1.16 1.74 50% 1.72 1.48 -14%

Violent

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Supervision by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Supervision by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change
’15-’17
Avg
’18-’21
Avg
’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Homicide 822 661 581 563 648 220 382 74% 688 453 -34%
Non-Fatal Shooting** 10 325 817 663 439 170 393 131% 384 416 8%
Rape 861 976 1,198 1,329 980 295 299 1% 1,012 726 -28%
Robbery/Gun 2,280 2,318 2,114 1,809 733 266 362 36% 2,237 792 -65%
Robbery/Other 1,449 1,560 1,331 1,293 631 253 357 41% 1,447 634 -56%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 1,985 1,462 1,209 839 457 113 291 158% 1,552 425 -73%
Aggravated Assault/Other 2,115 2,380 2,205 1,826 1,032 397 565 42% 2,233 955 -57%
Other Assaults 1,104 1,008 855 630 385 150 185 23% 989 338 -66%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 324 428 361 493 252 96 206 115% 371 262 -29%
All Violent Offenses 10,950 11,118 10,671 9,445 5,557 1,960 3,040 55% 10,913 5,000 -54%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Supervision per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change
’15-’17
Avg
’18-’21
Avg
’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Homicide 4.98 5.05 3.98 4.47 5.36 4.23 3.41 -19% 4.67 4.37 -6%
Non-Fatal Shooting** 5.00 5.42 6.05 5.67 4.43 3.27 3.64 11% 5.49 4.25 -23%
Rape 6.11 6.46 7.68 6.55 5.41 4.68 3.74 -20% 6.75 5.10 -24%
Robbery/Gun 5.45 5.05 4.97 4.01 3.49 3.09 2.70 -13% 5.16 3.32 -36%
Robbery/Other 3.06 3.41 3.34 2.88 2.63 2.14 2.57 20% 3.27 2.55 -22%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 4.27 4.26 3.72 3.33 2.97 1.79 2.17 21% 4.08 2.56 -37%
Aggravated Assault/Other 2.53 2.83 2.81 2.38 1.90 1.62 2.01 24% 2.72 1.98 -27%
Other Assaults 1.23 1.24 1.31 1.06 0.82 0.78 0.85 9% 1.26 0.88 -30%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 2.82 4.20 3.06 4.04 2.31 2.09 2.37 13% 3.36 2.70 -20%
All Violent Offenses 3.11 3.32 3.39 3.06 2.62 2.14 2.35 10% 3.27 2.54 -22%

Property

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Supervision by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Supervision by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change
’15-’17
Avg
’18-’21
Avg
’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Burglary/Residential 1,560 1,147 1,233 830 557 216 232 7% 1,313 459 -65%
Burglary/Commercial 405 447 358 281 200 69 113 64% 403 166 -59%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 0 5 0 0 2 0 0 0% 2 0 -100%
Theft from Person 44 37 32 15 9 0 2 Inf% 38 6 -84%
Theft from Auto 301 233 260 209 119 24 38 58% 265 98 -63%
Retail Theft 1,785 1,720 1,332 388 156 18 45 150% 1,612 152 -91%
Theft 655 604 632 376 167 100 54 -46% 630 174 -72%
Auto Theft 650 659 564 421 248 84 181 115% 624 234 -62%
Fraud/Theft of Services 609 582 485 364 172 98 104 6% 559 184 -67%
Embezzlement 149 90 97 88 35 18 21 17% 112 40 -64%
All Property Offenses 6,158 5,524 4,993 2,972 1,665 627 790 26% 5,558 1,514 -73%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Supervision per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change
’15-’17
Avg
’18-’21
Avg
’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Burglary/Residential 3.18 2.63 2.67 2.13 1.96 2.18 1.72 -21% 2.83 2.00 -29%
Burglary/Commercial 2.28 2.38 1.90 1.76 1.89 1.25 1.02 -18% 2.19 1.48 -32%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 0.00 5.00 0.00 0.00 1.00 0.00 0.00 0% 1.67 0.00 0%
Theft from Person 1.33 1.85 2.67 1.00 0.82 0.00 0.67 0% 1.95 0.00 0%
Theft from Auto 0.82 0.90 0.67 0.78 0.55 0.33 0.83 152% 0.80 0.62 -23%
Retail Theft 1.29 1.29 1.26 0.74 1.13 0.36 1.15 219% 1.28 0.84 -34%
Theft 1.38 1.33 1.36 1.08 0.62 0.91 0.90 -1% 1.36 0.88 -35%
Auto Theft 1.70 1.63 1.66 1.35 1.04 0.85 1.15 35% 1.66 1.10 -34%
Fraud/Theft of Services 1.63 1.71 1.85 1.41 1.10 1.21 2.42 100% 1.73 1.53 -12%
Embezzlement 1.33 0.97 1.14 0.99 0.67 0.53 2.62 394% 1.15 1.20 4%
All Property Offenses 1.62 1.57 1.53 1.26 1.13 1.04 1.31 26% 1.57 1.19 -24%

Drugs

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Supervision by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Supervision by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change
’15-’17
Avg
’18-’21
Avg
’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Drug Possession 1,938 1,654 1,526 976 312 56 53 -5% 1,706 349 -80%
Drug Sales 10,420 8,695 7,677 6,033 3,654 1,174 1,262 7% 8,931 3,031 -66%
DUI 1,758 1,417 1,018 814 554 144 62 -57% 1,398 394 -72%
All Drug Offenses 14,116 11,766 10,221 7,823 4,520 1,374 1,377 0% 12,034 3,774 -69%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Supervision per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change
’15-’17
Avg
’18-’21
Avg
’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Drug Possession 0.49 0.52 0.54 0.38 0.17 0.07 0.32 357% 0.52 0.24 -54%
Drug Sales 2.49 2.38 2.27 2.04 1.59 1.49 1.57 5% 2.38 1.67 -30%
DUI 0.72 0.62 0.53 0.49 0.47 0.33 0.41 24% 0.62 0.42 -32%
All Drug Offenses 1.33 1.29 1.25 1.08 0.86 0.68 1.23 81% 1.29 0.96 -26%

Firearms

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Supervision by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Supervision by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change
’15-’17
Avg
’18-’21
Avg
’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 2,609 2,585 2,567 2,914 1,816 595 1,077 81% 2,587 1,600 -38%
All Firearms Possession 2,609 2,585 2,567 2,914 1,816 595 1,077 81% 2,587 1,600 -38%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Supervision per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change
’15-’17
Avg
’18-’21
Avg
’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 3.93 4.1 4.25 3.6 3.25 2.47 2.4 -3% 4.09 2.93 -28%
All Firearms Possession 3.93 4.1 4.25 3.6 3.25 2.47 2.4 -3% 4.09 2.93 -28%

Other

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Supervision by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Supervision by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change
’15-’17
Avg
’18-’21
Avg
’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 480 279 291 91 25 2 0 -100% 350 30 -91%
Patronizing Prostitutes 26 22 34 9 4 0 0 0% 27 3 -89%
Threats of Violence 247 230 164 111 43 35 52 49% 214 60 -72%
All Other Offenses 753 531 489 211 72 37 52 41% 591 93 -84%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Supervision per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change
’15-’17
Avg
’18-’21
Avg
’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 0.62 0.54 0.49 0.39 0.22 0.11 0.00 -100% 0.55 0.18 -67%
Patronizing Prostitutes 0.15 0.15 0.24 0.10 0.06 0.00 0.00 0% 0.18 0.04 -78%
Threats of Violence 1.46 1.58 1.46 1.13 0.66 1.13 1.68 49% 1.50 1.15 -23%
All Other Offenses 0.67 0.66 0.58 0.49 0.29 0.48 0.81 69% 0.64 0.52 -19%