Future Years of Incarceration Imposed

Year End 12/31/2020

Definitions | Limitations

Each sentence to a period of incarceration in a jail or prison represents a commitment by the County of Philadelphia or the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania to detain a person for a period of time. The data below show the future years of incarceration imposed over time for different types of offenses.

  -48%

vs. ’14-’17 Avg

All Offenses

  -44%

vs. ’14-’17 Avg

Violent Offenses

  -65%

vs. ’14-’17 Avg

Property Offenses

  -65%

vs. ’14-’17 Avg

Drug Offenses

  -46%

vs. ’14-’17 Avg

Firearms Possession

All Offenses

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: Year End Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change 		’14-’17
Avg 		’18-’20
Avg 		’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
All Violent Offenses 8730 8,743 6,998 8,057 6,808 5,070 1,786 -65% 8,132 4,555 -44%
All Property Offenses 927 874 661 622 423 307 90 -71% 771 273 -65%
All Drug Offenses 2404 2,067 1,701 1,349 1,018 730 251 -66% 1,880 666 -65%
All Firearms Possession 1047 1,273 1,269 985 1,039 568 256 -55% 1,144 621 -46%
All Other Offenses 54 45 35 65 43 14 7 -50% 50 21 -58%
Uncategorized Offenses 626 614 522 471 562 423 189 -55% 558 391 -30%
All Offenses 13788 13,616 11,186 11,549 9,893 7,112 2,579 -64% 12,535 6,528 -48%

Rates

Data: Year End Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change 		’14-’17
Avg 		’18-’20
Avg 		’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
All Violent Offenses 1.92 2.01 1.69 2.08 1.87 1.94 1.63 -16% 1.92 1.81 -6%
All Property Offenses 0.2 0.18 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.17 0.13 -24% 0.17 0.15 -12%
All Drug Offenses 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.11 0% 0.15 0.11 -27%
All Firearms Possession 1.36 1.55 1.63 1.29 1.11 0.86 0.86 0% 1.46 0.94 -36%
All Other Offenses 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.05 0.08 60% 0.04 0.07 75%
Uncategorized Offenses 0.24 0.22 0.20 0.21 0.30 0.32 0.32 0% 0.22 0.31 41%
All Offenses 0.47 0.50 0.47 0.52 0.54 0.54 0.51 -6% 0.49 0.53 8%

Violent

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: Year End Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change 		’14-’17
Avg 		’18-’20
Avg 		’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Homicide 3565 3,737 1,917 2,720 2,214 1,899 642 -66% 2,985 1,585 -47%
Non-Fatal Shooting** · 5 350 824 629 505 204 -60% 393 446 13%
Rape 648 694 672 972 1,056 1,015 375 -63% 746 815 9%
Robbery/Gun 1537 1,423 1,618 1,332 997 463 159 -66% 1,478 540 -63%
Robbery/Other 564 570 527 452 479 250 108 -57% 528 279 -47%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 1334 1,409 937 848 498 359 57 -84% 1,132 305 -73%
Aggravated Assault/Other 724 673 734 698 674 413 164 -60% 707 417 -41%
Other Assaults 135 128 139 118 84 65 31 -52% 130 60 -54%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 223 104 104 93 177 101 46 -54% 131 108 -18%
All Violent Offenses 8730 8,743 6,998 8,057 6,808 5,070 1,786 -65% 8,132 4,555 -44%

Rates

Data: Year End Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change 		’14-’17
Avg 		’18-’20
Avg 		’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Homicide 14.43 18.50 11.02 15.28 13.67 13.10 10.35 -21% 14.81 12.37 -16%
Non-Fatal Shooting** · 2.50 3.40 5.15 4.22 4.17 3.24 -22% 0.00 3.88 0%
Rape 3.58 3.99 3.67 4.81 4.31 4.77 4.75 0% 4.01 4.61 15%
Robbery/Gun 2.4 2.81 2.90 2.46 1.95 1.85 1.62 -12% 2.64 1.81 -31%
Robbery/Other 0.93 0.94 0.94 0.92 0.95 0.87 0.78 -10% 0.93 0.87 -6%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 2.67 2.48 2.27 2.08 1.58 1.94 0.71 -63% 2.38 1.41 -41%
Aggravated Assault/Other 0.6 0.64 0.70 0.73 0.75 0.60 0.57 -5% 0.67 0.64 -4%
Other Assaults 0.13 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.12 0.11 0.14 27% 0.14 0.12 -14%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 1.33 0.68 0.78 0.59 1.15 0.70 0.75 7% 0.84 0.87 4%
All Violent Offenses 1.92 2.01 1.69 2.08 1.87 1.94 1.63 -16% 1.92 1.81 -6%

Property

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: Year End Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change 		’14-’17
Avg 		’18-’20
Avg 		’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Burglary/Residential 504 426 306 327 229 175 47 -73% 391 150 -62%
Burglary/Commercial 112 88 100 67 48 38 12 -68% 92 33 -64%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 1 0 -100%
Theft from Person 3 10 0 4 2 0 1 Inf% 4 1 -75%
Theft from Auto 45 38 27 34 46 14 0 -100% 36 20 -44%
Retail Theft 83 79 69 41 8 10 2 -80% 68 7 -90%
Theft 81 107 59 76 42 22 13 -41% 81 26 -68%
Auto Theft 66 74 69 54 41 36 9 -75% 66 29 -56%
Fraud/Theft of Services 28 48 29 19 6 12 6 -50% 31 8 -74%
Embezzlement 1 4 2 0 1 0 0 0% 2 0 -100%
All Property Offenses 927 874 661 622 423 307 90 -71% 771 273 -65%

Rates

Data: Year End Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change 		’14-’17
Avg 		’18-’20
Avg 		’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Burglary/Residential 0.72 0.72 0.58 0.62 0.49 0.51 0.43 -16% 0.66 0.48 -27%
Burglary/Commercial 0.42 0.37 0.40 0.28 0.26 0.27 0.20 -26% 0.37 0.24 -35%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.25 0.00 0%
Theft from Person 0.1 0.25 0.00 0.25 0.12 0.00 Inf Inf% 0.15 Inf Inf%
Theft from Auto 0.12 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.14 0.06 0.00 -100% 0.09 0.07 -22%
Retail Theft 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.03 -50% 0.04 0.03 -25%
Theft 0.13 0.17 0.11 0.14 0.10 0.07 0.11 57% 0.14 0.09 -36%
Auto Theft 0.15 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.12 0.08 -33% 0.14 0.10 -29%
Fraud/Theft of Services 0.07 0.10 0.07 0.06 0.02 0.06 0.06 0% 0.08 0.05 -38%
Embezzlement 0.01 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0% 0.01 0.00 -100%
All Property Offenses 0.2 0.18 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.17 0.13 -24% 0.17 0.15 -12%

Drugs

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: Year End Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change 		’14-’17
Avg 		’18-’20
Avg 		’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Drug Possession 92 108 106 61 40 14 12 -14% 92 22 -76%
Drug Sales 2161 1,819 1,469 1,173 890 657 228 -65% 1,656 592 -64%
DUI 151 140 126 115 88 59 11 -81% 133 53 -60%
All Drug Offenses 2404 2,067 1,701 1,349 1,018 730 251 -66% 1,880 666 -65%

Rates

Data: Year End Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change 		’14-’17
Avg 		’18-’20
Avg 		’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Drug Possession 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0% 0.02 0.01 -50%
Drug Sales 0.36 0.35 0.33 0.27 0.25 0.23 0.25 9% 0.33 0.24 -27%
DUI 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.02 -50% 0.05 0.03 -40%
All Drug Offenses 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.11 0% 0.15 0.11 -27%

Firearms

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: Year End Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change 		’14-’17
Avg 		’18-’20
Avg 		’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 1047 1,273 1,269 985 1,039 568 256 -55% 1,144 621 -46%
All Firearms Possession 1047 1,273 1,269 985 1,039 568 256 -55% 1,144 621 -46%

Rates

Data: Year End Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change 		’14-’17
Avg 		’18-’20
Avg 		’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 1.36 1.55 1.63 1.29 1.11 0.86 0.86 0% 1.46 0.94 -36%
All Firearms Possession 1.36 1.55 1.63 1.29 1.11 0.86 0.86 0% 1.46 0.94 -36%

Other

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: Year End Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change 		’14-’17
Avg 		’18-’20
Avg 		’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 9 2 0 1 2 3 0 -100% 3 2 -33%
Patronizing Prostitutes 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0% 2 0 -100%
Threats of Violence 45 43 35 58 41 11 7 -36% 45 20 -56%
All Other Offenses 54 45 35 65 43 14 7 -50% 50 21 -58%

Rates

Data: Year End Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change 		’14-’17
Avg 		’18-’20
Avg 		’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 -100% 0.00 0.01 Inf%
Patronizing Prostitutes 0 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.01 0.00 -100%
Threats of Violence 0.29 0.21 0.20 0.40 0.33 0.14 0.18 29% 0.28 0.22 -21%
All Other Offenses 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.05 0.08 60% 0.04 0.07 75%