Future Years of Incarceration Imposed

Year End 12/31/2020

Definitions | Limitations

Each sentence to a period of incarceration in a jail or prison represents a commitment by the County of Philadelphia or the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania to detain a person for a period of time. The data below show the future years of incarceration imposed over time for different types of offenses.

  -48%

vs. ’14-’17 Avg

All Offenses

  -44%

vs. ’14-’17 Avg

Violent Offenses

  -65%

vs. ’14-’17 Avg

Property Offenses

  -65%

vs. ’14-’17 Avg

Drug Offenses

  -46%

vs. ’14-’17 Avg

Firearms Possession

All Offenses

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: Year End Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change
’14-’17
Avg
’18-’20
Avg
’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
All Violent Offenses 8731 8,746 6,998 8,060 6,800 5,066 1,786 -65% 8,134 4,551 -44%
All Property Offenses 927 873 661 621 422 307 89 -71% 770 273 -65%
All Drug Offenses 2405 2,067 1,702 1,341 1,016 729 251 -66% 1,879 665 -65%
All Firearms Possession 1047 1,273 1,269 986 1,035 569 255 -55% 1,144 620 -46%
All Other Offenses 54 45 35 65 43 14 7 -50% 50 21 -58%
Uncategorized Offenses 626 614 522 471 562 423 189 -55% 558 391 -30%
All Offenses 13790 13,618 11,187 11,544 9,878 7,108 2,577 -64% 12,535 6,521 -48%

Rates

Data: Year End Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change
’14-’17
Avg
’18-’20
Avg
’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
All Violent Offenses 1.92 2.01 1.69 2.08 1.86 1.94 1.63 -16% 1.92 1.81 -6%
All Property Offenses 0.2 0.18 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.17 0.13 -24% 0.17 0.15 -12%
All Drug Offenses 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.11 0% 0.15 0.11 -27%
All Firearms Possession 1.36 1.55 1.63 1.29 1.10 0.86 0.86 0% 1.46 0.94 -36%
All Other Offenses 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.05 0.08 60% 0.04 0.07 75%
Uncategorized Offenses 0.24 0.22 0.20 0.21 0.30 0.32 0.32 0% 0.22 0.31 41%
All Offenses 0.47 0.50 0.47 0.52 0.54 0.54 0.51 -6% 0.49 0.53 8%

Violent

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: Year End Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change
’14-’17
Avg
’18-’20
Avg
’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Homicide 3565 3,736 1,917 2,720 2,214 1,900 642 -66% 2,984 1,585 -47%
Non-Fatal Shooting** · 5 350 824 629 505 204 -60% 393 446 13%
Rape 648 694 672 975 1,056 1,013 375 -63% 747 815 9%
Robbery/Gun 1538 1,423 1,618 1,332 996 463 159 -66% 1,478 539 -64%
Robbery/Other 564 574 527 452 475 247 108 -56% 529 277 -48%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 1334 1,409 937 848 498 359 57 -84% 1,132 305 -73%
Aggravated Assault/Other 724 673 734 698 671 413 164 -60% 707 416 -41%
Other Assaults 135 128 139 118 84 65 31 -52% 130 60 -54%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 223 104 104 93 177 101 46 -54% 131 108 -18%
All Violent Offenses 8731 8,746 6,998 8,060 6,800 5,066 1,786 -65% 8,134 4,551 -44%

Rates

Data: Year End Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change
’14-’17
Avg
’18-’20
Avg
’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Homicide 14.43 18.50 11.02 15.28 13.67 13.10 10.35 -21% 14.81 12.37 -16%
Non-Fatal Shooting** · 2.50 3.40 5.15 4.22 4.17 3.24 -22% 0.00 3.88 0%
Rape 3.58 3.99 3.67 4.83 4.31 4.76 4.75 0% 4.02 4.61 15%
Robbery/Gun 2.4 2.81 2.90 2.46 1.95 1.84 1.62 -12% 2.64 1.80 -32%
Robbery/Other 0.93 0.95 0.94 0.92 0.94 0.86 0.78 -9% 0.94 0.86 -9%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 2.67 2.48 2.27 2.08 1.58 1.93 0.71 -63% 2.38 1.41 -41%
Aggravated Assault/Other 0.6 0.64 0.70 0.73 0.75 0.60 0.56 -7% 0.67 0.64 -4%
Other Assaults 0.13 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.12 0.11 0.14 27% 0.14 0.12 -14%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 1.33 0.68 0.78 0.59 1.15 0.70 0.75 7% 0.84 0.87 4%
All Violent Offenses 1.92 2.01 1.69 2.08 1.86 1.94 1.63 -16% 1.92 1.81 -6%

Property

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: Year End Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change
’14-’17
Avg
’18-’20
Avg
’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Burglary/Residential 504 426 306 327 229 175 46 -74% 391 150 -62%
Burglary/Commercial 112 88 100 66 47 38 12 -68% 92 32 -65%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 4 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 1 0 -100%
Theft from Person 3 10 0 4 2 0 1 Inf% 4 1 -75%
Theft from Auto 45 37 27 34 46 14 0 -100% 36 20 -44%
Retail Theft 83 79 69 41 8 10 2 -80% 68 7 -90%
Theft 81 107 59 76 42 22 13 -41% 81 26 -68%
Auto Theft 66 74 69 54 41 36 9 -75% 66 29 -56%
Fraud/Theft of Services 28 48 29 19 6 12 6 -50% 31 8 -74%
Embezzlement 1 4 2 0 1 0 0 0% 2 0 -100%
All Property Offenses 927 873 661 621 422 307 89 -71% 770 273 -65%

Rates

Data: Year End Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change
’14-’17
Avg
’18-’20
Avg
’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Burglary/Residential 0.72 0.72 0.58 0.62 0.49 0.51 0.42 -18% 0.66 0.47 -29%
Burglary/Commercial 0.42 0.37 0.40 0.28 0.25 0.27 0.20 -26% 0.37 0.24 -35%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 1 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.25 0.00 0%
Theft from Person 0.1 0.25 0.00 0.25 0.12 0.00 Inf Inf% 0.15 Inf Inf%
Theft from Auto 0.12 0.08 0.08 0.07 0.14 0.06 0.00 -100% 0.09 0.07 -22%
Retail Theft 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.03 -50% 0.04 0.03 -25%
Theft 0.13 0.17 0.11 0.14 0.10 0.07 0.11 57% 0.14 0.09 -36%
Auto Theft 0.15 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.11 0.12 0.08 -33% 0.14 0.10 -29%
Fraud/Theft of Services 0.07 0.10 0.07 0.06 0.02 0.06 0.06 0% 0.08 0.05 -38%
Embezzlement 0.01 0.03 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0% 0.01 0.00 -100%
All Property Offenses 0.2 0.18 0.15 0.16 0.15 0.17 0.13 -24% 0.17 0.15 -12%

Drugs

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: Year End Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change
’14-’17
Avg
’18-’20
Avg
’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Drug Possession 92 108 106 62 40 14 11 -21% 92 22 -76%
Drug Sales 2162 1,819 1,470 1,164 888 656 229 -65% 1,654 591 -64%
DUI 151 140 126 115 88 59 11 -81% 133 53 -60%
All Drug Offenses 2405 2,067 1,702 1,341 1,016 729 251 -66% 1,879 665 -65%

Rates

Data: Year End Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change
’14-’17
Avg
’18-’20
Avg
’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Drug Possession 0.01 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0% 0.02 0.01 -50%
Drug Sales 0.36 0.35 0.33 0.27 0.25 0.23 0.25 9% 0.33 0.24 -27%
DUI 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.04 0.02 -50% 0.05 0.03 -40%
All Drug Offenses 0.16 0.16 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.11 0.11 0% 0.15 0.11 -27%

Firearms

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: Year End Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change
’14-’17
Avg
’18-’20
Avg
’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 1047 1,273 1,269 986 1,035 569 255 -55% 1,144 620 -46%
All Firearms Possession 1047 1,273 1,269 986 1,035 569 255 -55% 1,144 620 -46%

Rates

Data: Year End Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change
’14-’17
Avg
’18-’20
Avg
’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 1.36 1.55 1.63 1.29 1.1 0.86 0.86 0% 1.46 0.94 -36%
All Firearms Possession 1.36 1.55 1.63 1.29 1.1 0.86 0.86 0% 1.46 0.94 -36%

Other

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: Year End Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change
’14-’17
Avg
’18-’20
Avg
’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 9 2 0 1 2 3 0 -100% 3 2 -33%
Patronizing Prostitutes 0 0 0 6 0 0 0 0% 2 0 -100%
Threats of Violence 45 43 35 58 41 11 7 -36% 45 20 -56%
All Other Offenses 54 45 35 65 43 14 7 -50% 50 21 -58%

Rates

Data: Year End Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Yr-Yr
Change
’14-’17
Avg
’18-’20
Avg
’14-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’20 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.02 0.00 -100% 0.00 0.01 Inf%
Patronizing Prostitutes 0 0.00 0.00 0.03 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.01 0.00 -100%
Threats of Violence 0.29 0.21 0.20 0.40 0.33 0.14 0.18 29% 0.28 0.22 -21%
All Other Offenses 0.04 0.03 0.03 0.06 0.09 0.05 0.08 60% 0.04 0.07 75%