Future Years of Incarceration Imposed

Year to Date Through 08/02/2021

Definitions | Limitations

Each sentence to a period of incarceration in a jail or prison represents a commitment by the County of Philadelphia or the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania to detain a person for a period of time. The data below show the future years of incarceration imposed over time for different types of offenses.

  -53%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

All Offenses

  -50%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Violent Offenses

  -64%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Property Offenses

  -65%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Drug Offenses

  -53%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Firearms Possession

All Offenses

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
All Violent Offenses 5,674 4,673 4,919 4,411 3,268 1,039 1,396 34% 5,089 2,528 -50%
All Property Offenses 490 415 365 284 185 46 100 117% 423 154 -64%
All Drug Offenses 1,331 1,086 825 698 458 153 189 24% 1,081 374 -65%
All Firearms Possession 767 777 610 626 342 158 229 45% 718 339 -53%
All Other Offenses 35 25 35 21 8 6 9 50% 32 11 -66%
Uncategorized Offenses 357 329 313 344 280 125 166 33% 333 229 -31%
All Offenses 8,654 7,305 7,067 6,384 4,541 1,527 2,089 37% 7,675 3,635 -53%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
All Violent Offenses 2.12 1.86 2.12 1.86 1.98 1.48 1.64 11% 2.03 1.74 -14%
All Property Offenses 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.09 0.25 178% 0.16 0.16 0%
All Drug Offenses 0.17 0.16 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.09 0.27 200% 0.16 0.15 -6%
All Firearms Possession 1.51 1.64 1.36 1.04 0.81 0.86 0.89 3% 1.50 0.90 -40%
All Other Offenses 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.09 0.24 167% 0.05 0.11 120%
Uncategorized Offenses 0.21 0.21 0.22 0.27 0.34 0.31 0.51 65% 0.21 0.36 71%
All Offenses 0.52 0.50 0.54 0.54 0.56 0.43 0.81 88% 0.52 0.59 13%

Violent

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Homicide 2,741 1,435 1,661 1,480 1,332 340 466 37% 1,946 904 -54%
Non-Fatal Shooting** 5 214 480 402 337 129 253 96% 233 280 20%
Rape 385 374 562 604 662 221 154 -30% 440 410 -7%
Robbery/Gun 803 1,080 842 677 224 114 93 -18% 908 277 -69%
Robbery/Other 276 365 261 328 133 54 96 78% 301 153 -49%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 921 577 543 311 199 41 107 161% 680 164 -76%
Aggravated Assault/Other 410 467 464 441 278 93 163 75% 447 244 -45%
Other Assaults 76 83 51 61 36 13 20 54% 70 32 -54%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 57 78 55 107 67 34 44 29% 63 63 0%
All Violent Offenses 5,674 4,673 4,919 4,411 3,268 1,039 1,396 34% 5,089 2,528 -50%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Homicide 21.93 13.17 15.97 14.65 13.45 9.19 6.13 -33% 17.02 10.86 -36%
Non-Fatal Shooting** 2.50 4.37 5.27 4.57 4.55 3.22 3.78 17% 4.05 4.03 0%
Rape 3.29 3.86 4.93 4.28 4.76 4.91 2.80 -43% 4.03 4.19 4%
Robbery/Gun 2.44 3.14 2.57 1.92 1.37 1.81 0.96 -47% 2.72 1.52 -44%
Robbery/Other 0.78 1.02 0.88 0.95 0.76 0.61 1.07 75% 0.89 0.85 -4%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 2.78 2.23 2.17 1.59 1.67 0.82 1.37 67% 2.39 1.36 -43%
Aggravated Assault/Other 0.64 0.77 0.83 0.73 0.65 0.50 0.89 78% 0.75 0.69 -8%
Other Assaults 0.11 0.13 0.10 0.13 0.10 0.08 0.14 75% 0.11 0.11 0%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 0.73 1.04 0.65 1.20 0.79 1.10 0.72 -35% 0.81 0.95 17%
All Violent Offenses 2.12 1.86 2.12 1.86 1.98 1.48 1.64 11% 2.03 1.74 -14%

Property

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Burglary/Residential 258 199 196 154 102 18 60 233% 218 84 -61%
Burglary/Commercial 40 53 41 31 24 5 14 180% 45 18 -60%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Theft from Person 1 0 1 2 0 1 0 -100% 1 1 0%
Theft from Auto 20 16 27 28 3 0 1 Inf% 21 8 -62%
Retail Theft 44 53 22 8 7 0 0 0% 40 4 -90%
Theft 63 36 47 30 10 12 3 -75% 49 14 -71%
Auto Theft 36 39 26 24 28 5 18 260% 34 19 -44%
Fraud/Theft of Services 26 18 5 6 11 5 4 -20% 16 6 -62%
Embezzlement 2 1 0 1 0 0 0 0% 1 0 -100%
All Property Offenses 490 415 365 284 185 46 100 117% 423 154 -64%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Burglary/Residential 0.68 0.65 0.57 0.49 0.48 0.26 0.59 127% 0.63 0.45 -29%
Burglary/Commercial 0.33 0.36 0.34 0.29 0.31 0.14 0.19 36% 0.34 0.23 -32%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00 0.00 0%
Theft from Person 0.04 0.00 0.09 0.18 0.00 Inf 0.00 0% 0.04 0.00 0%
Theft from Auto 0.07 0.09 0.09 0.15 0.02 0.00 0.03 Inf% 0.08 0.05 -38%
Retail Theft 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.06 0.00 0.00 0% 0.04 0.02 -50%
Theft 0.17 0.11 0.14 0.11 0.05 0.13 0.09 -31% 0.14 0.10 -29%
Auto Theft 0.13 0.13 0.11 0.12 0.16 0.06 0.17 183% 0.12 0.13 8%
Fraud/Theft of Services 0.09 0.07 0.02 0.03 0.09 0.07 0.12 71% 0.06 0.08 33%
Embezzlement 0.02 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.01 0.00 -100%
All Property Offenses 0.17 0.16 0.15 0.16 0.16 0.09 0.25 178% 0.16 0.16 0%

Drugs

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Drug Possession 77 63 36 27 11 7 6 -14% 59 13 -78%
Drug Sales 1,173 929 713 611 405 141 173 23% 938 332 -65%
DUI 81 94 76 60 42 5 10 100% 84 29 -65%
All Drug Offenses 1,331 1,086 825 698 458 153 189 24% 1,081 374 -65%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Drug Possession 0.03 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.05 400% 0.03 0.02 -33%
Drug Sales 0.37 0.34 0.29 0.27 0.23 0.22 0.36 64% 0.33 0.27 -18%
DUI 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.01 0.10 900% 0.05 0.05 0%
All Drug Offenses 0.17 0.16 0.14 0.13 0.12 0.09 0.27 200% 0.16 0.15 -6%

Firearms

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 767 777 610 626 342 158 229 45% 718 339 -53%
All Firearms Possession 767 777 610 626 342 158 229 45% 718 339 -53%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 1.51 1.64 1.36 1.04 0.81 0.86 0.89 3% 1.5 0.9 -40%
All Firearms Possession 1.51 1.64 1.36 1.04 0.81 0.86 0.89 3% 1.5 0.9 -40%

Other

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0% 1 0 -100%
Patronizing Prostitutes 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0% 2 0 -100%
Threats of Violence 33 25 28 21 8 6 9 50% 29 11 -62%
All Other Offenses 35 25 35 21 8 6 9 50% 32 11 -66%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00 0.00 0%
Patronizing Prostitutes 0.00 0.00 0.06 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.02 0.00 0%
Threats of Violence 0.24 0.23 0.33 0.27 0.18 0.25 0.50 100% 0.27 0.30 11%
All Other Offenses 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.05 0.09 0.24 167% 0.05 0.11 120%