Future Years of Incarceration Imposed

Year to Date Through 10/18/2021

Definitions | Limitations

Each sentence to a period of incarceration in a jail or prison represents a commitment by the County of Philadelphia or the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania to detain a person for a period of time. The data below show the future years of incarceration imposed over time for different types of offenses.

  -51%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

All Offenses

  -49%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Violent Offenses

  -64%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Property Offenses

  -64%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Drug Offenses

  -53%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Firearms Possession

All Offenses

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
All Violent Offenses 7,263 5,916 6,443 5,631 4,124 1,465 2,150 47% 6,541 3,342 -49%
All Property Offenses 652 525 503 342 249 83 135 63% 560 202 -64%
All Drug Offenses 1,660 1,407 1,123 881 613 207 302 46% 1,397 501 -64%
All Firearms Possession 1,053 1,060 807 809 461 208 349 68% 973 457 -53%
All Other Offenses 40 30 56 22 11 7 14 100% 42 14 -67%
Uncategorized Offenses 503 423 378 460 362 180 288 60% 435 322 -26%
All Offenses 11,171 9,361 9,310 8,145 5,820 2,150 3,238 51% 9,947 4,838 -51%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
All Violent Offenses 2.07 1.76 2.05 1.83 1.94 1.60 1.66 4% 1.96 1.76 -10%
All Property Offenses 0.17 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.17 0.14 0.22 57% 0.16 0.17 6%
All Drug Offenses 0.16 0.15 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.27 170% 0.15 0.15 0%
All Firearms Possession 1.59 1.68 1.34 1.00 0.83 0.86 0.78 -9% 1.54 0.87 -44%
All Other Offenses 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.09 0.22 144% 0.05 0.10 100%
Uncategorized Offenses 0.22 0.20 0.20 0.29 0.33 0.34 0.59 74% 0.21 0.39 86%
All Offenses 0.51 0.48 0.52 0.53 0.54 0.49 0.81 65% 0.50 0.59 18%

Violent

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Homicide 3,272 1,703 2,123 1,800 1,567 486 780 60% 2,366 1,158 -51%
Non-Fatal Shooting** 5 279 682 521 449 187 363 94% 322 380 18%
Rape 512 552 720 774 839 309 223 -28% 595 536 -10%
Robbery/Gun 1,118 1,323 1,142 898 339 147 153 4% 1,194 384 -68%
Robbery/Other 443 446 360 430 188 99 142 43% 416 215 -48%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 1,212 787 681 438 293 45 164 264% 893 235 -74%
Aggravated Assault/Other 520 612 575 544 335 135 242 79% 569 314 -45%
Other Assaults 104 115 97 67 45 23 34 48% 105 42 -60%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 77 99 63 159 69 34 49 44% 80 78 -2%
All Violent Offenses 7,263 5,916 6,443 5,631 4,124 1,465 2,150 47% 6,541 3,342 -49%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Homicide 19.83 13.00 14.54 14.29 12.95 9.35 6.96 -26% 15.79 10.89 -31%
Non-Fatal Shooting** 2.50 4.65 5.05 4.45 4.54 3.60 3.36 -7% 4.07 3.99 -2%
Rape 3.63 3.66 4.62 3.81 4.64 4.90 2.79 -43% 3.97 4.04 2%
Robbery/Gun 2.67 2.88 2.69 1.99 1.61 1.71 1.14 -33% 2.75 1.61 -41%
Robbery/Other 0.94 0.98 0.90 0.96 0.78 0.84 1.02 21% 0.94 0.90 -4%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 2.61 2.29 2.10 1.74 1.90 0.71 1.22 72% 2.33 1.39 -40%
Aggravated Assault/Other 0.62 0.73 0.73 0.71 0.62 0.55 0.86 56% 0.69 0.69 0%
Other Assaults 0.12 0.14 0.15 0.11 0.10 0.12 0.16 33% 0.14 0.12 -14%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 0.67 0.97 0.53 1.30 0.63 0.74 0.56 -24% 0.72 0.81 13%
All Violent Offenses 2.07 1.76 2.05 1.83 1.94 1.60 1.66 4% 1.96 1.76 -10%

Property

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Burglary/Residential 330 242 271 182 138 42 65 55% 281 107 -62%
Burglary/Commercial 59 83 54 38 32 12 17 42% 65 25 -62%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Theft from Person 2 0 4 2 0 1 3 200% 2 2 0%
Theft from Auto 28 21 30 32 12 0 3 Inf% 26 12 -54%
Retail Theft 60 62 30 8 10 1 1 0% 51 5 -90%
Theft 75 46 62 37 13 13 7 -46% 61 18 -70%
Auto Theft 56 50 45 36 32 8 34 325% 50 28 -44%
Fraud/Theft of Services 38 19 7 6 12 6 5 -17% 21 7 -67%
Embezzlement 4 2 0 1 0 0 0 0% 2 0 -100%
All Property Offenses 652 525 503 342 249 83 135 63% 560 202 -64%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Burglary/Residential 0.67 0.56 0.59 0.47 0.49 0.42 0.48 14% 0.61 0.46 -25%
Burglary/Commercial 0.33 0.44 0.29 0.24 0.30 0.22 0.15 -32% 0.35 0.23 -34%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00 0.00 0%
Theft from Person 0.06 0.00 0.33 0.13 0.00 Inf 1.00 0% 0.13 Inf Inf%
Theft from Auto 0.08 0.08 0.08 0.12 0.06 0.00 0.07 Inf% 0.08 0.06 -25%
Retail Theft 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.07 0.02 0.03 50% 0.04 0.04 0%
Theft 0.16 0.10 0.13 0.11 0.05 0.12 0.12 0% 0.13 0.10 -23%
Auto Theft 0.15 0.12 0.13 0.12 0.13 0.08 0.22 175% 0.13 0.14 8%
Fraud/Theft of Services 0.10 0.06 0.03 0.02 0.08 0.07 0.12 71% 0.06 0.07 17%
Embezzlement 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.02 0.00 -100%
All Property Offenses 0.17 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.17 0.14 0.22 57% 0.16 0.17 6%

Drugs

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Drug Possession 91 93 52 35 12 11 10 -9% 79 17 -78%
Drug Sales 1,459 1,213 972 770 548 188 276 47% 1,215 446 -63%
DUI 110 101 99 76 53 8 16 100% 103 38 -63%
All Drug Offenses 1,660 1,407 1,123 881 613 207 302 46% 1,397 501 -64%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Drug Possession 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.06 500% 0.02 0.02 0%
Drug Sales 0.35 0.33 0.29 0.26 0.24 0.24 0.34 42% 0.32 0.27 -16%
DUI 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.04 0.02 0.11 450% 0.05 0.06 20%
All Drug Offenses 0.16 0.15 0.14 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.27 170% 0.15 0.15 0%

Firearms

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 1,053 1,060 807 809 461 208 349 68% 973 457 -53%
All Firearms Possession 1,053 1,060 807 809 461 208 349 68% 973 457 -53%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 1.59 1.68 1.34 1 0.83 0.86 0.78 -9% 1.54 0.87 -44%
All Firearms Possession 1.59 1.68 1.34 1 0.83 0.86 0.78 -9% 1.54 0.87 -44%

Other

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0% 1 0 -100%
Patronizing Prostitutes 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0% 2 0 -100%
Threats of Violence 38 30 49 21 11 7 14 100% 39 13 -67%
All Other Offenses 40 30 56 22 11 7 14 100% 42 14 -67%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00 0.00 0%
Patronizing Prostitutes 0.00 0.00 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.01 0.00 -100%
Threats of Violence 0.22 0.21 0.44 0.21 0.17 0.23 0.45 96% 0.29 0.26 -10%
All Other Offenses 0.04 0.04 0.07 0.05 0.04 0.09 0.22 144% 0.05 0.10 100%