Future Years of Incarceration Imposed

Year to Date Through 04/12/2021

Definitions | Limitations

Each sentence to a period of incarceration in a jail or prison represents a commitment by the County of Philadelphia or the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania to detain a person for a period of time. The data below show the future years of incarceration imposed over time for different types of offenses.

  -48%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

All Offenses

  -48%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Violent Offenses

  -53%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Property Offenses

  -60%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Drug Offenses

  -49%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Firearms Possession

All Offenses

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
All Violent Offenses 2,635 2,528 2,401 1,979 1,752 1,020 491 -52% 2,521 1,310 -48%
All Property Offenses 171 211 158 156 110 38 35 -8% 180 85 -53%
All Drug Offenses 582 524 412 376 219 134 73 -46% 506 200 -60%
All Firearms Possession 359 370 293 335 147 149 64 -57% 341 174 -49%
All Other Offenses 14 8 18 8 7 6 1 -83% 13 6 -54%
Uncategorized Offenses 125 108 158 264 111 106 81 -24% 130 140 8%
All Offenses 3,886 3,749 3,440 3,118 2,346 1,453 745 -49% 3,692 1,916 -48%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
All Violent Offenses 2.13 1.99 2.22 1.68 2.08 1.60 1.72 7% 2.11 1.77 -16%
All Property Offenses 0.12 0.16 0.13 0.16 0.19 0.09 0.26 189% 0.14 0.17 21%
All Drug Offenses 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.10 0.10 0.30 200% 0.15 0.16 7%
All Firearms Possession 1.48 1.57 1.46 1.12 0.60 0.87 0.70 -20% 1.50 0.82 -45%
All Other Offenses 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.07 0.11 0.05 -55% 0.04 0.07 75%
Uncategorized Offenses 0.15 0.14 0.22 0.32 0.27 0.33 0.73 121% 0.17 0.41 141%
All Offenses 0.48 0.52 0.54 0.50 0.55 0.50 0.84 68% 0.51 0.60 18%

Violent

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Homicide 1,295 919 882 465 789 340 139 -59% 1,032 433 -58%
Non-Fatal Shooting** 0 48 192 212 121 129 72 -44% 80 134 68%
Rape 167 200 281 313 343 220 70 -68% 216 236 9%
Robbery/Gun 321 421 344 381 121 107 47 -56% 362 164 -55%
Robbery/Other 154 177 91 150 50 49 45 -8% 141 74 -48%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 478 379 311 170 142 37 36 -3% 389 96 -75%
Aggravated Assault/Other 164 298 255 201 128 92 67 -27% 239 122 -49%
Other Assaults 38 45 27 36 21 12 6 -50% 37 19 -49%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 18 41 18 51 37 34 9 -74% 26 33 27%
All Violent Offenses 2,635 2,528 2,401 1,979 1,752 1,020 491 -52% 2,521 1,310 -48%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Homicide 23.12 15.07 17.64 11.62 15.17 9.19 5.56 -39% 18.61 10.38 -44%
Non-Fatal Shooting** 0.00 2.82 4.17 4.82 3.27 3.22 2.57 -20% 0.00 3.47 0%
Rape 3.15 4.08 4.93 4.23 5.28 5.12 3.68 -28% 4.05 4.58 13%
Robbery/Gun 2.17 2.45 2.89 2.16 1.53 2.02 1.74 -14% 2.50 1.86 -26%
Robbery/Other 0.94 0.98 0.64 0.89 0.59 0.60 1.36 127% 0.85 0.86 1%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 3.44 2.63 2.30 1.59 2.33 0.84 1.64 95% 2.79 1.60 -43%
Aggravated Assault/Other 0.54 1.00 0.95 0.63 0.55 0.54 1.14 111% 0.83 0.72 -13%
Other Assaults 0.11 0.14 0.12 0.17 0.11 0.09 0.11 22% 0.12 0.12 0%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 0.43 1.21 0.46 1.31 1.00 1.06 0.50 -53% 0.70 0.97 39%
All Violent Offenses 2.13 1.99 2.22 1.68 2.08 1.60 1.72 7% 2.11 1.77 -16%

Property

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Burglary/Residential 91 93 84 85 69 14 21 50% 89 47 -47%
Burglary/Commercial 21 34 12 14 14 4 3 -25% 22 9 -59%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Theft from Person 1 0 1 1 0 1 0 -100% 1 0 -100%
Theft from Auto 6 12 22 17 1 0 1 Inf% 13 5 -62%
Retail Theft 18 25 13 4 4 0 0 0% 19 2 -89%
Theft 13 18 17 19 8 10 0 -100% 16 9 -44%
Auto Theft 10 18 8 12 7 5 8 60% 12 8 -33%
Fraud/Theft of Services 10 10 1 4 7 4 2 -50% 7 4 -43%
Embezzlement 1 1 0 0 0 0 0 0% 1 0 -100%
All Property Offenses 171 211 158 156 110 38 35 -8% 180 85 -53%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Burglary/Residential 0.45 0.57 0.56 0.55 0.59 0.23 0.49 113% 0.53 0.47 -11%
Burglary/Commercial 0.38 0.45 0.18 0.28 0.27 0.12 0.11 -8% 0.34 0.20 -41%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00 0.00 0%
Theft from Person 0.17 0.00 0.25 0.17 0.00 Inf 0.00 0% 0.14 0.00 0%
Theft from Auto 0.04 0.13 0.12 0.20 0.01 0.00 0.08 Inf% 0.10 0.07 -30%
Retail Theft 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.07 0.00 0.00 0% 0.04 0.02 -50%
Theft 0.07 0.10 0.10 0.15 0.09 0.14 0.00 -100% 0.09 0.10 11%
Auto Theft 0.07 0.11 0.08 0.10 0.09 0.07 0.36 414% 0.09 0.16 78%
Fraud/Theft of Services 0.07 0.09 0.01 0.04 0.11 0.08 0.18 125% 0.06 0.10 67%
Embezzlement 0.02 0.04 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.02 0.00 -100%
All Property Offenses 0.12 0.16 0.13 0.16 0.19 0.09 0.26 189% 0.14 0.17 21%

Drugs

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Drug Possession 34 42 12 25 5 5 1 -80% 29 9 -69%
Drug Sales 510 444 371 322 189 124 65 -48% 442 175 -60%
DUI 38 38 29 29 25 5 7 40% 35 16 -54%
All Drug Offenses 582 524 412 376 219 134 73 -46% 506 200 -60%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Drug Possession 0.02 0.04 0.01 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.02 100% 0.02 0.02 0%
Drug Sales 0.33 0.32 0.32 0.27 0.22 0.23 0.38 65% 0.32 0.28 -12%
DUI 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.04 0.01 0.54 5300% 0.04 0.16 300%
All Drug Offenses 0.15 0.15 0.14 0.13 0.10 0.10 0.30 200% 0.15 0.16 7%

Firearms

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 359 370 293 335 147 149 64 -57% 341 174 -49%
All Firearms Possession 359 370 293 335 147 149 64 -57% 341 174 -49%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 1.48 1.57 1.46 1.12 0.6 0.87 0.7 -20% 1.5 0.82 -45%
All Firearms Possession 1.48 1.57 1.46 1.12 0.6 0.87 0.7 -20% 1.5 0.82 -45%

Other

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Patronizing Prostitutes 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Threats of Violence 14 8 16 8 7 6 1 -83% 13 6 -54%
All Other Offenses 14 8 18 8 7 6 1 -83% 13 6 -54%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00 0.00 0%
Patronizing Prostitutes 0.00 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.01 0.00 0%
Threats of Violence 0.22 0.15 0.36 0.20 0.29 0.26 0.20 -23% 0.24 0.24 0%
All Other Offenses 0.03 0.03 0.05 0.04 0.07 0.11 0.05 -55% 0.04 0.07 75%