Future Years of Incarceration Imposed

Year to Date Through 09/19/2021

Definitions | Limitations

Each sentence to a period of incarceration in a jail or prison represents a commitment by the County of Philadelphia or the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania to detain a person for a period of time. The data below show the future years of incarceration imposed over time for different types of offenses.

  -52%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

All Offenses

  -50%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Violent Offenses

  -64%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Property Offenses

  -65%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Drug Offenses

  -55%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Firearms Possession

All Offenses

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
All Violent Offenses 6,720 5,327 5,811 5,161 3,840 1,198 1,702 42% 5,953 2,975 -50%
All Property Offenses 584 483 456 313 227 62 125 102% 508 182 -64%
All Drug Offenses 1,548 1,279 984 803 553 188 248 32% 1,270 448 -65%
All Firearms Possession 956 982 746 747 410 194 276 42% 895 407 -55%
All Other Offenses 39 30 45 22 8 6 9 50% 38 11 -71%
Uncategorized Offenses 447 379 367 451 317 167 233 40% 398 292 -27%
All Offenses 10,294 8,480 8,409 7,497 5,355 1,815 2,593 43% 9,061 4,315 -52%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
All Violent Offenses 2.08 1.77 2.08 1.84 1.97 1.49 1.55 4% 1.98 1.71 -14%
All Property Offenses 0.17 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.17 0.11 0.24 118% 0.16 0.16 0%
All Drug Offenses 0.16 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.26 160% 0.15 0.15 0%
All Firearms Possession 1.56 1.70 1.39 1.00 0.80 0.88 0.73 -17% 1.55 0.85 -45%
All Other Offenses 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.09 0.18 100% 0.05 0.09 80%
Uncategorized Offenses 0.21 0.20 0.21 0.31 0.32 0.35 0.55 57% 0.21 0.38 81%
All Offenses 0.50 0.48 0.52 0.53 0.55 0.45 0.76 69% 0.50 0.57 14%

Violent

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Homicide 3,174 1,538 1,944 1,642 1,537 404 562 39% 2,219 1,036 -53%
Non-Fatal Shooting** 5 232 599 475 425 154 322 109% 279 344 23%
Rape 452 471 676 707 769 241 177 -27% 533 474 -11%
Robbery/Gun 986 1,220 969 824 304 124 112 -10% 1,058 341 -68%
Robbery/Other 387 414 331 374 161 70 114 63% 377 180 -52%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 1,070 692 606 420 224 44 141 220% 789 207 -74%
Aggravated Assault/Other 472 562 541 497 314 105 198 89% 525 278 -47%
Other Assaults 98 110 85 66 38 22 30 36% 98 39 -60%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 76 88 60 156 68 34 46 35% 75 76 1%
All Violent Offenses 6,720 5,327 5,811 5,161 3,840 1,198 1,702 42% 5,953 2,975 -50%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Homicide 20.48 12.82 15.07 14.28 13.72 9.40 6.11 -35% 16.12 10.88 -33%
Non-Fatal Shooting** 2.50 4.46 5.60 4.75 4.78 3.58 3.29 -8% 4.19 4.10 -2%
Rape 3.40 3.83 4.86 3.93 4.72 4.73 2.49 -47% 4.03 3.97 -1%
Robbery/Gun 2.59 2.94 2.49 2.05 1.54 1.70 1.02 -40% 2.67 1.58 -41%
Robbery/Other 0.90 0.96 0.90 0.92 0.73 0.66 0.90 36% 0.92 0.80 -13%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 2.52 2.30 2.08 1.82 1.62 0.77 1.24 61% 2.30 1.36 -41%
Aggravated Assault/Other 0.62 0.75 0.77 0.71 0.62 0.49 0.87 78% 0.71 0.67 -6%
Other Assaults 0.12 0.15 0.15 0.12 0.09 0.12 0.17 42% 0.14 0.12 -14%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 0.72 0.95 0.57 1.34 0.66 0.92 0.59 -36% 0.75 0.88 17%
All Violent Offenses 2.08 1.77 2.08 1.84 1.97 1.49 1.55 4% 1.98 1.71 -14%

Property

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Burglary/Residential 298 224 247 165 120 25 63 152% 256 93 -64%
Burglary/Commercial 54 76 41 36 30 10 17 70% 57 23 -60%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Theft from Person 2 0 4 2 0 1 3 200% 2 2 0%
Theft from Auto 20 20 32 32 12 0 2 Inf% 24 12 -50%
Retail Theft 57 59 25 8 10 1 1 0% 47 5 -89%
Theft 68 40 61 35 12 13 3 -77% 56 16 -71%
Auto Theft 49 43 41 28 31 6 31 417% 44 24 -45%
Fraud/Theft of Services 32 19 5 6 12 6 5 -17% 19 7 -63%
Embezzlement 4 2 0 1 0 0 0 0% 2 0 -100%
All Property Offenses 584 483 456 313 227 62 125 102% 508 182 -64%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Burglary/Residential 0.66 0.59 0.59 0.45 0.48 0.31 0.51 65% 0.61 0.44 -28%
Burglary/Commercial 0.35 0.42 0.30 0.24 0.33 0.21 0.18 -14% 0.36 0.24 -33%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00 0.00 0%
Theft from Person 0.06 0.00 0.33 0.14 0.00 Inf 1.00 0% 0.13 Inf Inf%
Theft from Auto 0.06 0.09 0.09 0.13 0.06 0.00 0.04 Inf% 0.08 0.06 -25%
Retail Theft 0.04 0.05 0.03 0.02 0.08 0.02 0.03 50% 0.04 0.04 0%
Theft 0.15 0.10 0.15 0.11 0.05 0.12 0.07 -42% 0.13 0.09 -31%
Auto Theft 0.14 0.12 0.13 0.10 0.16 0.07 0.23 229% 0.13 0.14 8%
Fraud/Theft of Services 0.09 0.06 0.02 0.03 0.08 0.08 0.13 62% 0.06 0.08 33%
Embezzlement 0.04 0.02 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.02 0.00 -100%
All Property Offenses 0.17 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.17 0.11 0.24 118% 0.16 0.16 0%

Drugs

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Drug Possession 86 85 42 30 12 8 9 12% 71 15 -79%
Drug Sales 1,362 1,094 854 703 492 173 226 31% 1,103 398 -64%
DUI 100 100 88 70 49 7 13 86% 96 35 -64%
All Drug Offenses 1,548 1,279 984 803 553 188 248 32% 1,270 448 -65%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Drug Possession 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.06 500% 0.02 0.02 0%
Drug Sales 0.35 0.33 0.28 0.26 0.24 0.23 0.33 43% 0.32 0.26 -19%
DUI 0.04 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.05 0.02 0.10 400% 0.05 0.06 20%
All Drug Offenses 0.16 0.15 0.13 0.12 0.12 0.10 0.26 160% 0.15 0.15 0%

Firearms

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 956 982 746 747 410 194 276 42% 895 407 -55%
All Firearms Possession 956 982 746 747 410 194 276 42% 895 407 -55%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 1.56 1.7 1.39 1 0.8 0.88 0.73 -17% 1.55 0.85 -45%
All Firearms Possession 1.56 1.7 1.39 1 0.8 0.88 0.73 -17% 1.55 0.85 -45%

Other

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 2 0 1 1 0 0 0 0% 1 0 -100%
Patronizing Prostitutes 0 0 6 0 0 0 0 0% 2 0 -100%
Threats of Violence 37 30 38 21 8 6 9 50% 35 11 -69%
All Other Offenses 39 30 45 22 8 6 9 50% 38 11 -71%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00 0.00 0%
Patronizing Prostitutes 0.00 0.00 0.05 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.02 0.00 -100%
Threats of Violence 0.24 0.23 0.37 0.23 0.14 0.23 0.38 65% 0.28 0.24 -14%
All Other Offenses 0.04 0.04 0.06 0.06 0.04 0.09 0.18 100% 0.05 0.09 80%