Future Years of Incarceration Imposed

Year to Date Through 06/13/2021

Definitions | Limitations

Each sentence to a period of incarceration in a jail or prison represents a commitment by the County of Philadelphia or the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania to detain a person for a period of time. The data below show the future years of incarceration imposed over time for different types of offenses.

  -53%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

All Offenses

  -52%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Violent Offenses

  -62%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Property Offenses

  -64%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Drug Offenses

  -54%

vs. ’15-’17 Avg

Firearms Possession

All Offenses

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
All Violent Offenses 4,458 3,841 3,919 3,296 2,565 1,022 988 -3% 4,073 1,968 -52%
All Property Offenses 340 327 274 224 155 41 57 39% 314 119 -62%
All Drug Offenses 970 879 635 562 339 144 143 -1% 828 297 -64%
All Firearms Possession 602 611 466 510 233 150 142 -5% 560 259 -54%
All Other Offenses 31 17 21 9 8 6 6 0% 23 7 -70%
Uncategorized Offenses 307 217 261 311 183 121 127 5% 262 186 -29%
All Offenses 6,708 5,892 5,576 4,912 3,483 1,484 1,463 -1% 6,059 2,836 -53%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
All Violent Offenses 2.16 1.91 2.14 1.75 1.96 1.56 1.69 8% 2.07 1.74 -16%
All Property Offenses 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.09 0.23 156% 0.15 0.16 7%
All Drug Offenses 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.10 0.29 190% 0.15 0.16 7%
All Firearms Possession 1.48 1.67 1.31 1.07 0.68 0.85 0.86 1% 1.49 0.86 -42%
All Other Offenses 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.11 0.21 91% 0.04 0.10 150%
Uncategorized Offenses 0.23 0.18 0.23 0.28 0.29 0.35 0.56 60% 0.21 0.37 76%
All Offenses 0.51 0.51 0.55 0.52 0.54 0.48 0.84 75% 0.52 0.60 15%

Violent

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Homicide 2,278 1,255 1,450 914 1,057 340 319 -6% 1,661 658 -60%
Non-Fatal Shooting** 5 164 355 356 227 129 172 33% 175 221 26%
Rape 266 278 359 513 532 220 127 -42% 301 348 16%
Robbery/Gun 579 812 688 533 172 107 66 -38% 693 220 -68%
Robbery/Other 216 310 159 260 93 51 68 33% 228 118 -48%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 735 487 434 275 184 37 70 89% 552 142 -74%
Aggravated Assault/Other 286 409 388 327 211 92 122 33% 361 188 -48%
Other Assaults 47 58 41 47 33 12 13 8% 49 26 -47%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 46 68 45 71 56 34 31 -9% 53 48 -9%
All Violent Offenses 4,458 3,841 3,919 3,296 2,565 1,022 988 -3% 4,073 1,968 -52%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Homicide 23.48 13.49 16.48 11.72 12.89 9.19 5.80 -37% 17.82 9.90 -44%
Non-Fatal Shooting** 5.00 4.21 4.55 4.94 3.85 3.22 3.37 5% 4.59 3.85 -16%
Rape 2.92 3.92 3.82 4.71 4.93 5.12 2.95 -42% 3.55 4.43 25%
Robbery/Gun 2.39 2.85 2.79 2.01 1.40 1.88 0.97 -48% 2.68 1.56 -42%
Robbery/Other 0.81 1.06 0.67 0.97 0.65 0.60 1.13 88% 0.85 0.84 -1%
Aggravated Assault/Gun 2.85 2.24 2.13 1.64 2.11 0.82 1.46 78% 2.41 1.51 -37%
Aggravated Assault/Other 0.58 0.86 0.88 0.67 0.59 0.53 0.98 85% 0.77 0.69 -10%
Other Assaults 0.09 0.12 0.11 0.13 0.11 0.08 0.14 75% 0.11 0.12 9%
Sexual Assault and Other Sex Offenses 0.75 1.31 0.64 1.04 0.90 1.06 0.78 -26% 0.90 0.95 6%
All Violent Offenses 2.16 1.91 2.14 1.75 1.96 1.56 1.69 8% 2.07 1.74 -16%

Property

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Burglary/Residential 181 165 143 123 90 17 34 100% 163 66 -60%
Burglary/Commercial 34 38 22 28 21 4 9 125% 31 16 -48%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Theft from Person 1 0 1 2 0 1 0 -100% 1 1 0%
Theft from Auto 17 16 26 22 1 0 1 Inf% 20 6 -70%
Retail Theft 22 41 19 5 5 0 0 0% 27 2 -93%
Theft 39 23 37 20 9 10 1 -90% 33 10 -70%
Auto Theft 28 28 21 19 20 5 10 100% 26 14 -46%
Fraud/Theft of Services 17 15 5 4 9 4 2 -50% 12 5 -58%
Embezzlement 1 1 0 1 0 0 0 0% 1 0 -100%
All Property Offenses 340 327 274 224 155 41 57 39% 314 119 -62%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Burglary/Residential 0.58 0.71 0.55 0.51 0.53 0.27 0.56 107% 0.61 0.47 -23%
Burglary/Commercial 0.33 0.33 0.24 0.35 0.32 0.11 0.19 73% 0.30 0.24 -20%
Theft of Motor Vehicle Tag 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00 0.00 0%
Theft from Person 0.05 0.00 0.11 0.18 0.00 Inf 0.00 0% 0.05 0.00 0%
Theft from Auto 0.07 0.12 0.10 0.17 0.01 0.00 0.05 Inf% 0.10 0.06 -40%
Retail Theft 0.03 0.05 0.03 0.01 0.06 0.00 0.00 0% 0.04 0.02 -50%
Theft 0.14 0.09 0.13 0.10 0.06 0.13 0.05 -62% 0.12 0.09 -25%
Auto Theft 0.12 0.11 0.10 0.11 0.14 0.06 0.16 167% 0.11 0.12 9%
Fraud/Theft of Services 0.08 0.08 0.03 0.03 0.08 0.06 0.12 100% 0.06 0.07 17%
Embezzlement 0.01 0.02 0.00 0.02 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.01 0.00 -100%
All Property Offenses 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.16 0.18 0.09 0.23 156% 0.15 0.16 7%

Drugs

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Drug Possession 58 53 24 26 8 5 5 0% 45 11 -76%
Drug Sales 857 750 556 496 295 134 128 -4% 721 263 -64%
DUI 55 76 55 40 36 5 10 100% 62 23 -63%
All Drug Offenses 970 879 635 562 339 144 143 -1% 828 297 -64%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Drug Possession 0.02 0.03 0.02 0.02 0.01 0.01 0.05 400% 0.02 0.02 0%
Drug Sales 0.34 0.35 0.30 0.27 0.21 0.23 0.38 65% 0.33 0.27 -18%
DUI 0.04 0.06 0.05 0.04 0.05 0.01 0.26 2500% 0.05 0.09 80%
All Drug Offenses 0.15 0.16 0.14 0.13 0.11 0.10 0.29 190% 0.15 0.16 7%

Firearms

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 602 611 466 510 233 150 142 -5% 560 259 -54%
All Firearms Possession 602 611 466 510 233 150 142 -5% 560 259 -54%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Illegal Firearms Possession 1.48 1.67 1.31 1.07 0.68 0.85 0.86 1% 1.49 0.86 -42%
All Firearms Possession 1.48 1.67 1.31 1.07 0.68 0.85 0.86 1% 1.49 0.86 -42%

Other

The COVID-19 pandemic has had a profound effect on the criminal legal system. Among other things, overall arrests and cases charged have been lower than prior years, those arrests that have happened tend to be for more serious offenses, and few cases have been completed. The extraordinary reduction in our future years metrics in 2020 and 2021 are partly a reflection of this change.

Future Years of Incarceration by Police District

Raw Counts

Data: YTD Count of Future Years of Incarceration by Offense Category

Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 2 0 1 0 0 0 0 0% 1 0 -100%
Patronizing Prostitutes 0 0 1 0 0 0 0 0% 0 0 0%
Threats of Violence 29 17 19 9 8 6 6 0% 22 7 -68%
All Other Offenses 31 17 21 9 8 6 6 0% 23 7 -70%

Rates

Data: YTD Future Years of Incarceration per Guilty/Plea/Diversion Outcome by Offense Category
Offense Category 2015 YTD 2016 YTD 2017 YTD 2018 YTD 2019 YTD 2020 YTD 2021 YTD Yr-Yr
Change 		’15-’17
Avg 		’18-’21
Avg 		’15-’17 Avg
Compared to
’18-’21 Avg
Prostitution/Sex Work 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00 0.00 0%
Patronizing Prostitutes 0.00 0.00 0.01 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00 0% 0.00 0.00 0%
Threats of Violence 0.29 0.20 0.28 0.16 0.23 0.26 0.60 131% 0.26 0.31 19%
All Other Offenses 0.04 0.04 0.04 0.03 0.05 0.11 0.21 91% 0.04 0.10 150%